The Jordanians are kicking off on the streets and the military have said a fitting reprisal will be delivered........
The Jordanians are kicking off on the streets and the military have said a fitting reprisal will be delivered........
Back in the early 90's I met a group of Muslim taxi drivers, all appeared to be totally mad as they wished to go and support their brothers in the Balkan wars. They seemed to have no concept that it was war and not some bloody video game. They were unfazed when I pointed this out.
ISIS have also this week thrown a man from a muli-storey car park in Syria for being gay.
When the fall failed to kill him, they beat him to death.
Whilst that true, we as a society have advanced and learned from our errant ways, many would say we have gone too far and are now too soft as with human rights etc. and I will agree in several ways to that sentiment. Unlike the civilised west, IS are still living a thousand years in the past. I think Jordan has made a good move with these two executions and I feel that this is the start of a big combined push by the Arab community against IS, at least I hope so, watch this space.In no way wishing to take away from the utter horror of what ISIS do until recently we did have something of a history as treating those who went to fight abroad as hero and encouraging people to come here to do the same and fight for us. The Spanish civil war and the Gurkhas being just two examples.
ISIS have also this week thrown a man from a muli-storey car park in Syria for being gay.
When the fall failed to kill him, they beat him to death.
I saw the clip of the pilot being burned. Wish I had never looked.
Whilst that true, we as a society have advanced and learned from our errant ways, many would say we have gone too far and are now too soft as with human rights etc. and I will agree in several ways to that sentiment. Unlike the civilised west, IS are still living a thousand years in the past. I think Jordan has made a good move with these two executions and I feel that this is the start of a big combined push by the Arab community against IS, at least I hope so, watch this space.
history has a way of repeating itself ,80 years ago the nations of the world saw the rise of the nazi party and chose to ignore it ,stating some of the things that have been said on here .in the end they had to be put down by a major war ,its no use saying the arab nations will have to do it alone ,they have neither the technology or the weapons a united multinational force with boots on the ground is the only way to stop them
a couple of daisy cutters dropped on mosul ,would teach them we are not messing about
I think most people in here have agreed that any offensive would need western assistance, or rather, non-Muslim assistance, but for it to be effective and to have support from the people of those various nations, it should be led by those nations and not by the Americans, the Europeans or anyone else not in the region. We know form bitter experience, that wading into their affairs and politics can cause as many problems as it solves and indeed could be argued was how we got to this point in the first place.
In short it's pretty much unwinable and unfightable.
I'm not so sure they do. Western intervention in this to any great extent will only serve to increase support for IS. It already has with the limited air support intervention.
On the other hand, the capability of middle eastern forces isn't able to plan lead or conduct the sort of warfare that will be needed for a ground offensive. You only have to look at the numerous Arab v Israel wars. The latter being a small country, with limited resources in terms of kit, but particularly in manpower beat the Arabs hands down every time, in fact nearly as often as we have won against the French!
The issue then wasn't kit or manpower, the Arab armies had plenty of both and the kit was of at least reasonable quality. The problem was the way those wars were conducted.
Terrible as it is to say it, IS/ISIL/ISIS are a very well organized army, and have gained experience that the Arab Nations don't have. They are also showing flexibility in tactics, dropping the mass advances which are vulnerable to air attack and moving to small group actions where even if they are attacked by air strikes the effort is costly to the west for very little result.
I don't know what the answer is here. Boots on the ground means chasing those small groups while being worn down by attrition. Trying to go after a logistics chain doesn't seem to work, living off the local population negates that as there are no large storage and maintenance areas to bomb. Carpet bombing/nukes are pointless, you just make holes in the sand and green coloured glass. If you take ground you will be subject to a terrorist campaign, like in Viet nam, NI and Afghanistan. There's no negotiating with them, unless our opening statement is that we are all prepared to done robes and worship Allah.
In short it's pretty much unwinable and unfightable.
Evil begets Evil
We need to find another way.
So do you think that our doing nothing in Syria has been the right thing to do? Atleast before it got to this point.
There's a huge problem with sticking our oars into Syria, and that is around what the actual will of the majority is. I don't know and I doubt anyone does that the majority of Syrians want to overthrow Asiad. Therein lays the problem. If its not the majority, and we interfered then we would be morally and legally in the wrong. If the UN passed that as lawful, then the repercussions would be far wore! For example it would mean that if NI flared up again, the US would be fully justified in bombing British troops. Or we could for example attack Spanish forces in the Basque region. All of that is leaving aside the fact that support in the Middle East wouldn't be there. Most Counties in that area are equally undemocratic and arguably just as evil.
So I don't think it was a simple question about intervening.
Even if the West had, would that have solved a problem like IS? No, it would have simply played into their ideas of the West being modern day 'Crusaders' hell bent on subjugating Islam. True, thats not what the idea would have been, but since when has true motive got in the way of some good old propaganda? But the end result could have been all us us being involved in something far worse by now if we had of done.
I agree that we are now at a point where doing nothing about IS isn't an option. But we have long been passed that point when it comes to Islamic Fundamentalism in general. Question is what?
Yes we can encourage the Arab Nations to fight their own battles. For the reasons I gave above, thats not likely to work very well.
So what does that leave? Our own Military intervening? There's a number of problems there. We only now have the capability to deploy 1 Brigade on rotation on operations. Thats around 3500 troops, short term we could deploy a Division, but that cannot be sustained any more. The UK couldn't do it alone, have you seen the size of the area they would need to fight in? The French, Germans, Dutch, Canadians and Aussies are in the same boat, although some of them couldn't even deploy a Division (3 Brigades), even as a short term measure. The Yanks could deploy a very much bigger force, but that would only inflame matters. Besides, they always insist on running the show and their previous shows they really are not very good at running that sort of war.
So what is left? I am not sure what the answer is.
Thats a somewhat spurioous analogy, as I'm sure you know. Doing nothing in Syria allowed the situation to develop as it has.
Coupled with the way you had NATO countries turning a blind eye to people crossing their borders to fight
So doing nothing didn't work. Had we (Royal we ) become involved earlier it may not of escalted to the level its at now.
But, how can you intervene when you don't know what the majority of a country want? No one does, so an intervention would be unlawful in those circumstances. So, no it's not spurious at all. Because making it lawful, you open other far nastier cans of worms.
There's nothing legally the Turks can do to prevent it. There was nothing originally we could do to stop UK citizens going either, it took a change in law, one which would mean had the Spanish Civil War happened today would prevent anti fascists taking part.
Correct, in that doing nothing didn't stop IS gaining ground. But would have doing something stopped that? No. It also begs the question, what would 'something' have been? Invasion? We didn't have the troops at the time, nor did anyone else apart from the Americans. Air strikes? Against what? The west is so ruled by rules on the conduct of war they would have been impossible to conduct, the risk of civilian casualties would have been too great. Political pressure? Thats all we could do, but Assiad doesn't give a toss if HM's Government is very dischuffed with him.
So realistically there was nothing we could have reasonably done to prevent the situation getting worse. Nor was there any 'world will' to do so.
[/QUOTE]As for answers now? There isn't one. Apart from wiping IS and every other extremist off the face of the planet, thats something thats impossible to achieve.
The past and what we did or didn't do are utterly irrelevant to their aims, which is world wide Islamic fundamentalism. What we, or the Yanks or the West in general did in the past, Iraq, Afghanistan are all red herrings spouted by Guardians readers to somehow get their tiny minds round something they can't grasp, this isn't about the Middle East it's about world wide Islam. Bottom lip trembling hand wringing about the past is misplaced.
It's been brewing to my knowledge since the late 80's, the Special Branch briefing about the subject I went to didn't mention how long it's been brewing for, so it may well have been longer. But at that point they were saying even then was, forget Paddy, thats almost finished, and whats coming is a whole lot worse. He was right!
Well clearly.
Any suggestions?
It is spurious as you know.
You know as well as I do thats not really true. The Turks were quite happy to watch fighters crossing their border as relations with Assiad were p*** poor.
Which then begs the question as to why didn't the rest of NATO bring pressure on their ally to stop it earlier?
Certainly there was no will. Could it of prevented the situation where IS has come to power (for want of a better word) Yes. But thats easy with hindsight to say and neither of us can sow outselves to be right there. All we can be sure of is what we did, or didn't do led us to where we are now.
I think its interesting that the first reaction of the feeble minded is to throw an insult at others don't you
For the second time, no, it's not spurious. I've explained why and I don't propose to do so a third time.
You point about what we have done in the past is self defeating, given that you imply Iraq as unlawful. If thats unlawful, then how can you complain that we did nothing in Syria's case where there was no, and no chance of UN approval?
But moving on from that, in what way could we have intervened in your opinion? It's all very well saying "Oh we should" but what intervention would have been effective?
No, I don't know thats not true, please desist from implying I know something I don't, and I doubt you do either. Like every other boarder that isn't closed, no state had the right to stop people crossing it. So, for example UKBA cannot stop me, or you leaving the UK, with one exception now (and none until 6 months ago) and traveling anywhere we liked. The same applies to Turkey.
You say yes, and I say no. But the you don't back that up with anything. Granted it's hindsight, but the point remains the same one I made above, examples of what intervention would (or may) have prevented IS rising up?
No, I think that any group who can't see the real world even though it's in front of them deserve being treated with derision.
So do you think that our doing nothing in Syria has been the right thing to do?
But to make it clear for you. Were our actions (generally) in NI legal? Perhaps they resulted in large scale refuges or us off handedly killing large numbers of civilians. See the difference yet?
I'm simply stating that if its legal to invade a state for them having chemical weapons then intervening when another state uses them (illegaly) on their own citizens must also be legal.
OK then, I'll just drive up to that border. It'll be as easy to cross as leaving the UK.
Anty military intervention that prevented things getting quite as bad in Syria as they actually did?
or don't agree with your view of things?
No. Simply because establishing a principle where another state can interfere in a minority matter in an independent state is clearly wrong. A principle would not establish a 'degree' to be met before intervention. Thats the danger. You're right, there was no widespread legality in NI by the UK Government, but the US in some quarters wouldn't agree with that assessment.
So the point isn't spurious, it's well made simply because you are reliant on someone else's idea of oppression. I would be very uncomfortable with that.
You brought up chemical weapons, which are regulated by an international convention. Syria has not agreed to that, so while outside thier boarders the use would be ilegal, it's not within. As Syria hasn't signed up to it, we can only express outrage, there are no grounds to step in in international law.
Iraq was obliged by UN order and the terms of the ceasefire after the first Gulf War to dispose of and prove they had done so, all WMD's. The second GW was because they were not complying with the second part of that. Lawfulness is a debatable issue in that invasion, I come down on the side of them not complying, thus no further UN vote was required. I am not an expert on international law though, so I conceed it could equally be argued the other way. Irrespective of that, the same argument cannot be made in Syria, for the reasons above.
It's very easy to leave the UK by car, you simply drive south from NI. No boarder at all. Never really has been one either. The boarder crossings from Turkey to Syria at Nusaybin and Akçakale are still open. A foreign national so long as they have the right paperwork cannot be stopped from crossing. Read the front page of your passport, all countries have a similar demand. It';s as simple as that. What you want might well be a good idea, but it simply cannot happen.
Like what? What do you think would have stopped it? Air strikes? Look at their Air Defence System! Not a chance in hell of that working. It would be carnage on medium altitude bombers, and not much better at low level. The 30 or so aircraft that could have been mustered from NATO would be smoking holes 5 minutes after entering Syrian airspace. Even the Israelis don't go barging into that unless they have to, and they are very experienced at dealing with Syrian counter air. You've probably not noticed, but most Western Aircraft only fly where people don't usually shoot back at them! Last time we did though, it didn't end very well for a number of RAF Aircrew.
With troops? Where do they come from? Ours were committed in Afghanistan and in any case are no where near what would be needed. The only people who might have been able to do that are the US, and that would have made matters far far worse!
Look it's a nice optimistic thought, but military intervention was never going to happen because it was never going to work.
Who have idealistic views of the world without any basis or evidence supporting the views they read in the Guardian. Sorry, I spent the last 53 years in the real world, where there are some very nasty people. The world does not run the way some thing it should.
This has been going on for a while now, so when will the muslim nations stand up against these scumbags, use their billions supported armies and actually do something about it? Why aren't they?
This has been going on for a while now, so when will the muslim nations stand up against these scumbags, use their billions supported armies and actually do something about it? Why aren't they?
Who is providing them numerous modern weapons? .
Nice selective quoting Bernie
Who is providing them numerous modern weapons?
Regardless of any excuses, they are the solution and if they aren't playing ball then they are the problem. It has gone on long enough.
mainly we and the US provided them to the fledgling Iraqi army , who promptly dropped them and ran away when ISIS turned up allowing them to steal them.
Nothing selective about the quote, simply answering your point.