An Independent Scotland?

I suspect but don't know for sure that it all belongs to the oil companies, it's only who collects the tax revenue which changes.
 
Interesting point though, I wonder who paid for the rig's pipe lines etc?
IF it was the UK as a whole,
then surely they belong to the UK as a whole,
not just one "region" ?
IF it was funded by the oil companies alone,
then would they be happy handing over control to a break away government?

(Genuine questions / comments as I have no idea how these things "work" )
I'm no expert either, but I thought they current belong to the UK. Thus it should be up for negotiation as to where the line might be drawn if Scotland is going to be allowed to go at it by themselves. A quick bit of research seems to suggest that the actual revenue and ownership on the accounts is allocated to the UK Continental Shelf and not Scotland itself as an economic region.

I'm genuinely wondering whether this is actually a done deal, or another assumption that is being negotiated at a later stage.
 
I have no idea how these things "work" )

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I'm genuinely wondering whether this is actually a done deal, or another assumption that is being negotiated at a later stage.
I suspect the latter Jp ;)
Either that or someting that has genuinely been assumed that they can claim "grandfather rights" on / over
 
Interesting point though, I wonder who paid for the rig's pipe lines etc?
IF it was the UK as a whole,
then surely they belong to the UK as a whole,
not just one "region" ?
IF it was funded by the oil companies alone,
then would they be happy handing over control to a break away government?

(Genuine questions / comments as I have no idea how these things "work" )

They're in 'Scottish territorial waters and so would belong to Scotland, UK as a whole helped pay whatever costs there have been but UK as a whole has benefited from oil revenues as well so it kind of evens out cost wise.
 
They're in 'Scottish territorial waters and so would belong to Scotland, UK as a whole helped pay whatever costs there have been but UK as a whole has benefited from oil revenues as well so it kind of evens out cost wise.
OK Fair do's.

But I suspect that there is still a fair bit of revenue to be had yet,
do you think the rest of the UK would relinquish any further "rights" over them,
Should it happen to be a yes vote?
 
Going by the Median Line - which was used to determine the boundary between Scotland and the rest of the UK for fisheries at 1999 devolution - Scottish Waters had about 90% of the oil and about 55% of the gas

Not sure about Shetland as they do not consider themselves Scottish :)
 
OK Fair do's.

But I suspect that there is still a fair bit of revenue to be had yet,
do you think the rest of the UK would relinquish any further "rights" over them,
Should it happen to be a yes vote?

I don't think rUK would go against international law and if Scotland becomes independent rUk wouldn't have any rights to give up. Thatchers government had a plan to redraw the line taking much of the oilfields into 'English' ownership but I think it was actually a Labour government that did it, it's possible they might try to get that ratified but it wasn't legal in the first place afaik. The new potential oil finds are I think partly in UK waters so could be a real benefit if they're recoverable.
 
I don't think rUK would go against international law and if Scotland becomes independent rUk wouldn't have any rights to give up. Thatchers government had a plan to redraw the line taking much of the oilfields into 'English' ownership but I think it was actually a Labour government that did it, it's possible they might try to get that ratified but it wasn't legal in the first place afaik. The new potential oil finds are I think partly in UK waters so could be a real benefit if they're recoverable.
Understood :)

A quick Google tells me that there is still a guesstimated 1.5 trillion££ worth of revenue left in the oil fields.
I still can't see Westminster giving up on the without some sort of "legal" (Deliberately in quotes ;) ) fight though?
After all, you know the saying, what's yours is mine and what's mine's me own :D
 
They're in 'Scottish territorial waters and so would belong to Scotland, UK as a whole helped pay whatever costs there have been but UK as a whole has benefited from oil revenues as well so it kind of evens out cost wise.
However they aren't officially agreed as such aren't they? They are in a territory called the Continental Shelf aren't they? Or was that sorted as part of the Median for the fisheries?

Is there any certainty on this or an assumptions that any decisions will go that way? You don't think there will be a need for any negotiation on that in a separation?
 
I have had a word wth Dave. He said that the Westminster back up option (just dreamed up same as Alex did for his "way out" of not getting B of E monetary union) is that in the event of a yes vote Holyrood will just be told to foxtrot oscar and forget about independence :exit:
 
However they aren't officially agreed as such aren't they? They are in a territory called the Continental Shelf aren't they? Or was that sorted as part of the Median for the fisheries?

Is there any certainty on this or an assumptions that any decisions will go that way? You don't think there will be a need for any negotiation on that in a separation?

The Meridian line (used for Marine disputes and for fisheries in the 1999 referendum) give Scotland 90% of Oil tax revenue and about 55% of Gas.

There's also the Population pro rata rule which totally flips the numbers with Scotland getting about 9%
 
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Hmm so a bit more research. The 1999 median line was only for fishery purposes. It has no other legal standing. The geographic area is UKCS not Scotland. And a split is not agreed at all.

http://www.scotland.gov.uk/Publications/2011/06/21144516/7

So unless I'm mistaken in my interpretation this is not agreed at all that the UK will let Scotland have all of the revenue when they want their independence.

For Jim's sake. Is there anything the Yes camp has got clarity on? Other than wanting to go it themselves but not having a scooby on how to do it?

I really hope I'm interpreting the official government papers wrong as that is a pretty fundamental lack of income stream isn't it? And I'd want a vote as well then. :p
 
Has it actually been agreed that in the case of this divorce Scotland will be allowed to take the oil fields? Is that legally really a given?
It's what international law on territorial waters and boundaries would define. But the concept of legality historically gets very hazy whenever oil is involved.
 
I don't think rUK would go against international law and if Scotland becomes independent rUk wouldn't have any rights to give up. Thatchers government had a plan to redraw the line taking much of the oilfields into 'English' ownership but I think it was actually a Labour government that did it, it's possible they might try to get that ratified but it wasn't legal in the first place afaik. The new potential oil finds are I think partly in UK waters so could be a real benefit if they're recoverable.
It was Bliar's government.
 
Hmm so a bit more research. The 1999 median line was only for fishery purposes. It has no other legal standing. The geographic area is UKCS not Scotland. And a split is not agreed at all.

http://www.scotland.gov.uk/Publications/2011/06/21144516/7

So unless I'm mistaken in my interpretation this is not agreed at all that the UK will let Scotland have all of the revenue when they want their independence.

For Jim's sake. Is there anything the Yes camp has got clarity on? Other than wanting to go it themselves but not having a scooby on how to do it?

I really hope I'm interpreting the official government papers wrong as that is a pretty fundamental lack of income stream isn't it? And I'd want a vote as well then. :p
Even with the fiddled oil boundary Scotland is fiscally better off independent - once the oil boundary is placed according to international law, the situation improves even further. As has been stated over and over in this thread, everything you read prior to independence is propaganda - a No "leader" will take a positive fact on an independent Scotland, and MUST turn that into a negative (and same for the Yes camp). It's not about honesty or facts now, it's about winning, and how many voters you can herd into your flock.

The below describes the boundary status (from the guy involved in setting the UK's maritime boundaries, and who is well versed in maritime law - but it a Yes supporter, caveat lector)
http://www.craigmurray.org.uk/archives/2013/03/propaganda-against-scotland/
 
It's what international law on territorial waters and boundaries would define. But the concept of legality historically gets very hazy whenever oil is involved.
Would define, as in it hasn't been defined and agreed yet?
 
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None of us can know. My own feeling is that (1) an agreement can only be done between two nation states, and therefore would be after the vote. (2) There's a decent chance Scotland will need to go to International Court of Justice to get the Bliar/McLeish boundaries put back as required in international law. That can only happen when/if Scotland is independent.
 
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None of us can know. My own feeling is that (1) an agreement can only be done between two nation states, and therefore would be after the vote. (2) There's a decent chance Scotland will need to go to International Court of Justice to get the Bliar/McLeish boundaries put back as required in international law. That can only happen when/if Scotland is independent.
Agreed and that is a rather important point...There are so many if/buts around this which the Yes camp comes across as that those kind of things are a given....No they are not, they need to be negotiated, they need to be agreed....When using words like negotiated and agreed that means that all parties involved need to be happy with it, not just Scotland....And that is where the rUK population comes in, and where I think the divisive bordering on hatred run campaign is just not going to pay off....Possibly for the initial vote to get the mandate to engage on those negotiations....but it will get stuck at the negotiations and will become rather nasty unfortunately...
 
Agreed and that is a rather important point...There are so many if/buts around this which the Yes camp comes across as that those kind of things are a given....No they are not, they need to be negotiated, they need to be agreed....When using words like negotiated and agreed that means that all parties involved need to be happy with it, not just Scotland....And that is where the rUK population comes in, and where I think the divisive bordering on hatred run campaign is just not going to pay off....Possibly for the initial vote to get the mandate to engage on those negotiations....but it will get stuck at the negotiations and will become rather nasty unfortunately...

Correct - independence will either not happen because of a No vote or because of the "negotiations". There is too much at stake to permit the UK to be broken up, not the least of which is Trident, and the nearby MoD (NATO) weapons storage depot at Glen Douglas which is the largest in Europe. There is no way that will be based in a foreign country.
 
Glen Douglas would not be an issue, the MoD have a much bigger depot at Longtown over the border in England and another currently unused one near it at Eastriggs which also has more storage.
 
Agreed and that is a rather important point...There are so many if/buts around this which the Yes camp comes across as that those kind of things are a given....No they are not, they need to be negotiated, they need to be agreed....When using words like negotiated and agreed that means that all parties involved need to be happy with it, not just Scotland....And that is where the rUK population comes in, and where I think the divisive bordering on hatred run campaign is just not going to pay off....Possibly for the initial vote to get the mandate to engage on those negotiations....but it will get stuck at the negotiations and will become rather nasty unfortunately...
Back to my earlier point, it is absolutely natural/inevitable that the yes camp will spin those as positively as they can, just as the no camp will use them to create fear as much as possible - this is not yet about facts. It will be, after the referendum when actual negotiations (or court cases, as need be) can take place, but for now it's about enticing / scaring as many voters as possible.

FWIW I think on this one the yes camp are rather less out on a limb than the no camp, as they have the weight of international territorial / maritime law on their side, albeit yet to be actually judged. But for sure I agree with you that needs to be actually defined, but it need not be defined according that all parties are happy - it may be (should be, likely to be) defined in accordance with statute, with one side correspondingly unhappy.
 
Glen Douglas would not be an issue, the MoD have a much bigger depot at Longtown over the border in England and another currently unused one near it at Eastriggs which also has more storage.

Part of longtown is up for commercial development. Over and above that you must have noticed the difference between Glen Douglas and the other storage facilities. Longtown is secure sheds. Glen Doulas is tunnelled deep into the hillside (there has to be a good reason for that) with numerous entrances and has a direct private road link to the deep water jetty in Loch Long where munitions get loaded directly onto ships. It is a depot for prepositioning NATO arms albeit only used by the MOD at present.
 
Back to my earlier point, it is absolutely natural/inevitable that the yes camp will spin those as positively as they can, just as the no camp will use them to create fear as much as possible - this is not yet about facts. It will be, after the referendum when actual negotiations (or court cases, as need be) can take place, but for now it's about enticing / scaring as many voters as possible.

FWIW I think on this one the yes camp are rather less out on a limb than the no camp, as they have the weight of international territorial / maritime law on their side, albeit yet to be actually judged. But for sure I agree with you that needs to be actually defined, but it need not be defined according that all parties are happy - it may be (should be, likely to be) defined in accordance with statute, with one side correspondingly unhappy.

We've long since passed the point where people should believe what they read.

A lot of people are biased and would argue why we should vote Yes/No regardless of common sense.

We're now into the 'undecided' and as you say - it's all about enticing voters.

Wading through lies, political bull and having to put up with who can shout the loudest is nothing new but sadly there are children voting in this one.
 
Either way Doug your assertion that 'they' won't allow independence over a munitions depot is spurious.
 
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Back to my earlier point, it is absolutely natural/inevitable that the yes camp will spin those as positively as they can, just as the no camp will use them to create fear as much as possible - this is not yet about facts. It will be, after the referendum when actual negotiations (or court cases, as need be) can take place, but for now it's about enticing / scaring as many voters as possible.

FWIW I think on this one the yes camp are rather less out on a limb than the no camp, as they have the weight of international territorial / maritime law on their side, albeit yet to be actually judged. But for sure I agree with you that needs to be actually defined, but it need not be defined according that all parties are happy - it may be (should be, likely to be) defined in accordance with statute, with one side correspondingly unhappy.
In that case they better build up that army that isn't required :p :)
 
Social media (the irony) is also key.

There was a TV program on a couple of weeks ago all about how political parties deliberately use social media.

Lies, misplaced truth, promises, scaremongering, extreme views - anything a political party would love to put out there but for obvious reasons can't - they plant the seed and let it spread.
 
Social media (the irony)Lies, misplaced truth, promises, scaremongering, extreme views - anything a WM political party would love to put out there but for obvious reasons can't - they plant the seed and let it spread.


No need they have the BBC for that.
 


No need they have the BBC for that.
The bbc can't do right. Many here find them too pro Scottish and Northern focussed. They just can't win and please everyone.
 
I'll be glad when it's over, but I suppose it won't be "over" until Scotland become independent, now or eventually ……… they need to get it out of their system

The SNP will not accept a no vote ….. and if that happens they will be moaning on forever

so everybody may as well vote yes
 
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I'll be glad when it's over, but I suppose it won't be "over" until Scotland become independent, now or eventually ……… they need to get it out of their system

The SNP will not accept a no vote ….. and if that happens they will be moaning on forever

so everybody may as well vote yes

I'll be glad when it's all over too.

I'd like to see things improved but sadly the referendum has already caused a lot of ill feeling which will require a lot of fixing regardless of the result.

It's a backward step but sadly it's too late now.
 
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I'll be glad when it's over, but I suppose it won't be "over" until Scotland become independent, now or eventually ……… they need to get it out of their system

The SNP will not accept a no vote ….. and if that happens they will be moaning on forever

so everybody may as well vote yes

Not the SNP, over 1.3 million have signed the Yes Scotland survey and if the latest poll is accurate over 1.5 million people living in Scotland think independence is right for Scotland. Something in the union must be badly broken for that many people to want to quit so you're right a close no won't end it but it's not the SNP you need to watch out for it's the newly awakened population.
 
Not the SNP, over 1.3 million have signed the Yes Scotland survey and if the latest poll is accurate over 1.5 million people living in Scotland think independence is right for Scotland. Something in the union must be badly broken for that many people to want to quit so you're right a close no won't end it but it's not the SNP you need to watch out for it's the newly awakened population.

but if it's a "no" the SNP will still be a powerful force in Scottish politics, "yes"? ……………..

you could say that they are in a "win win" situation

but lets get it over with and if it's a yes we can all start "paddling in treacle"

I am happy either way
 
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Not the SNP, over 1.3 million have signed the Yes Scotland survey and if the latest poll is accurate over 1.5 million people living in Scotland think independence is right for Scotland. Something in the union must be badly broken for that many people to want to quit so you're right a close no won't end it but it's not the SNP you need to watch out for it's the newly awakened population.
I remember this all being debated back in the mid 70's
(I assume that it goes back further than that too?)
I'm glad that the Scots finally have the chance to lay this to rest.
I just hope that the vote which ever way its goes, does end it.
I just hope that the people vote with the best interests for Scotland,
and not just which ever sides have the best spin doctors.

However if you are correct Hugh,
it looks like a no vote will start it all off again,
and it (the debate) will continue for many years to come.

Which is rather a shame, if it really is "tearing Scotland apart"
(If some sources are to be believed :( )
 
The newly awakened population - Braveheart, Salmond, child voters, anti English, the easily led ?

The funny thing - if it turns out to be No by a fine margin - I think Salmond himself may have swung it.
 
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