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- Name
- Tommy
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In 2008 I'd been watching the digital DSLR market for a few years, trying to decide what system to buy into. Film had been replaced with digital sensors and memory cards. The darkroom had been replaced by computers and digital printers. My shortlist had become Canon, Nikon, Pentax, Sony.
It was clear to me that the next things to be replaced by modern digital electronics would be the clockwork flipping mirror and shutter. That would remove two important sources of camera vibration during shooting, increase reliability, reduce manufacturing costs, remove the calibration problems of using separate dedicated AF sensors, and enable all sorts of useful new features. But the old clockwork technology had been well polished by decades of research and development and I guessed it would take at least a decade for the necessary new digital technology to become good enough to replace the old mechanical SLR technology.
In other words, the long term future would be mirrorless, and the important questions in choosing a system would be how the current camera system makers would handle the disruptive technology transition. I thought that one of Canon & Nikon might stumble badly at the mirrorless technology hurdle, and that Sony was the most likely to end up in the lead once the dust had settled. So I bought a Sony DSLR (the now very popular E-mount series hadn't yet been invented). My current Sony is an A77, one of Sony's SLT A-mount cameras which replaced their DSLRs with a hybrid of DSLR and mirrorless technologies.
Ten years later in 2018 nothing has happened to change my mind. I'm waiting to see what upgrade path Sony provides for its A-mount users. My guess is that it will either be the provision of a new technology improved adapter, without the SLT mirror, for E-mount to use A-mount lenses, or else, probably after an intermediate upgrade to an A77iii and possibly an A99iii, a new backwards compatible A+ mount, including the modern options of electronic aperture control and camera controlled power zoom, etc., and using the extra space of the now mirrorless A-mount bodies to incorporate new technology, such as more sensor movements on top of IBIS (In Body Image Stabilisation) to allow such things as in-camera tilt-shift.
I think your in for a shock A mount is a dead technology.